Artificial Intelligence

10 AI Trends to Watch in 2026

From agentic workflows to small specialised models, these are the shifts that will shape how businesses build with AI this year, and what to do about each one.

Emily CarterHead of AI Research
Jan 12, 20269 min read
Glowing neural network representing AI trends

2025 was the year most companies moved past AI experiments. 2026 is the year they will be judged on results. We talked to more than 200 Arshan customers and reviewed thousands of production deployments to identify the trends that matter most.

01Agentic workflows go mainstream

AI agents that can plan, use tools and check their own work are moving from demos into day-to-day operations. Expect the first wave in finance operations, IT support and customer service, where the steps are well defined and the value is easy to measure.

02Multimodal AI becomes the default

Models that understand text, images, audio and video together are now cheap enough for everyday use. Insurance claims, field inspections and retail shelf audits are early winners.

Neural network visualisation representing multimodal AI
Multimodal models combine text, image and audio understanding in a single system.

03Small, specialised models win on cost

Not every task needs the largest model. Distilled models fine-tuned on a narrow domain often match accuracy at a fraction of the cost and latency, and can run on-premise.

04Retrieval grounds everything

Retrieval-augmented generation is becoming standard architecture. The differentiator is no longer the model but the quality of your knowledge base, permissions and citations.

“In 2026 the model is a commodity. Your data, your evaluations and your workflows are the moat.”Emily Carter, Head of AI Research at Arshan

05AI governance gets real

With the EU AI Act in force and similar rules elsewhere, model inventories, risk assessments and audit trails become board-level requirements.

Where to startBuild an inventory of every model and AI feature in use today, including third-party tools. It is the foundation for every governance requirement that follows.

06AI moves to the edge

On-device and on-premise inference grows for privacy, latency and cost reasons, especially in healthcare, manufacturing and the public sector.

07Synthetic data fills the gaps

Teams use generated data to test edge cases, protect privacy and train models where real examples are scarce.

08Evaluation becomes a discipline

Automated evaluation suites, red-teaming and continuous monitoring replace one-off accuracy checks before launch.

09Copilots for every role

Role-specific assistants for sales, legal, finance and HR spread quickly, built on shared company knowledge.

10ROI over experimentation

Budgets shift from pilots to programmes with clear owners, metrics and payback periods.


Key takeaways

  • Start with agents for well-defined, high-volume processes.
  • Invest in your knowledge base and permissions before you scale generative AI.
  • Treat evaluation and governance as product features, not paperwork.
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Emily Carter

Head of AI Research at Arshan. Emily leads applied research on evaluation and agent reliability, and previously worked on large-scale recommendation systems.

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